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NCAA College Football 2010-11 Week 12 Picks

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Fearless Rick's 2010-11 College Football Week 12 Picks - Early Games

Rick Gagliano | November 16-20, 2010

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Tuesday, Nov. 16

Ohio at Temple (-7 1/2, 43 1/2), 8:00 pm - Major showdown in the MAC for number one position in the Eat division and a chance to go to the championship game. Both squads are 5-1 coming in, with Ohio's lone loss to Toledo, while the Owls' loss was a month ago at Northern Illinois, 31-17, who is perfect in conference play and can clinch the West division with a win over Ball State. Thus, everything is on the line in these two games this week.

The Bobcats' offense will be put to the test against a Temple defense which has solidified in recent games. After shutting out Buffalo and Akron in back-to-back games, the Owls only allowed Kent State 10 points in a 28-10 effort last week. Ohio's defense doesn't appear to be ready to stand up to the challenge of Temple's often-punishing offense, so look for Temple to run and run and run all night long while the defense stuffs Ohio.

Prediction: Owls 28 Bobcats 17

Wednesday, Nov. 17

Bowling Green at Toledo (-10, 54), 8:00 pm - Toledo is desperate for a win and must hope that Northern Illinois loses to Ball State, which would give the Rockets (5-1 in the MAC) life in their quest to play in the conference championship game. The Rockets aren't having their best season, at 6-4 overall, but the losses were to high-quality teams - Arizona, Boise St. Wyoming and Northern Illinois. Unfortunately, only the Wyoming loss was close, the others 35+ point blowouts.

At 2-8, the Falcons don't appear to be much of a threat, but four of their losses were by 3 points or less, so there's still some desire and they're actually not a bad team. They may have some surprises for the Rockets, but this one looks like loss #9.

Prediction: Rockets 42 Falcons 27

Thursday, Nov. 18

UCLA at Washington (-2, 53 1/2), 8:00 pm - Neither of these teams have distinguished themselves this season and both will be sitting home watching bowl games on the tube rather than participating in one. Offensive problems have plagued the Bruins all season, though they still possess one of the better defensive units in the conference. Huskies' QB Jake Locker is hoping to start his final home game against the Bruins, though his status is still doubtful. Whether he plays or not, Locker hasn't produced anywhere near his potential, and the Bruin defense will probably be able to keep the Huskies in check.

Prediction: Bruins 28 Huskies 20

Air Force (-19, 56) at UNLV, 10:00 pm - The heavy point spread indicates that the Falcons, one of the better teams in the Mountain West, may completely dominate the Rebels in their final home game. UNLV has suffered mammoth losses of 30 points or more four times this season, and have only scored more than 26 points twice, in wins over New Mexico and Wyoming, two of the weakest programs around.

Air Force may have the fat line covered by half time and roll over UNLV in search of a minor bowl bid.

Prediction: Falcons 48 Rebels 13

Friday, Nov. 19

Fresno State at Boise State (-31, 65 1/2), 9:30 pm - As the line indicates, Boise State should have no problems with Fresno State, but the Bulldogs biggest loss this season was by 22 points, to Hawaii, so one wonders whether the Broncos will keep their starters in long after they establish a working lead. Fresno gave 9-1 Nevada all they wanted last week, coming up just short in a 35-34 home loss.

Facing Boise on their blue home turf is always challenging, but four touchdowns and a field goal would appear to be a slap in the Bulldogs' face. An upset is almost unthinkable, and Boise will not lose focus, even though their bigger game is at Nevada next week, but Fresno may just get a break or two and score late to confound bettors who just play favorites regardless of the line.

Prediction: Broncos 48 Bulldogs 21

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Saturday, Nov. 20

Purdue at Michigan State (-20, 48), 12:00 pm - The Boilermakers should be no problem for the 9-1 Spartans, who continue to cling to hopes of winning the Big 10 outright. That's a longshot, but sharing the title with Wisconsin, whom they've already beaten, and/or Ohio State, whom they don't play this season, is a distinct possibility. The Buckeyes face Iowa later in the day in a huge match-up, so the Spartans must guard against distractions and just go out and play hard. They still have Penn State next week, but Purdue has lost four straight in the conference, won't be going to a bowl game and probably will finish their home schedule with a big, fat loss.

The Spartans simply have too much riding to allow this one to slip away.

Prediction: Spartans 38 Boilermakers 10

Wisconsin (-5, 66 1/2) at Michigan, 12:00 pm - The Badgers must keep winning in order to remain in the hunt for the Rose Bowl, and they may hae t do it without big John Clay, who is still working out a sprained knee and is questionable for this contest. Wisconsin has a win over Ohio State, but a loss to Michigan State, which clouds the picture and Michigan poses some serious problems, not the least of which is how to keep Wolverine QB Denard Robinson in check and out of the end zone.

The Wisconsin defense is one of the best in the conference, and the offense rolled up 83 points in last week's win over Indiana (no, that's not a typo, the Badgers won, 83-20), which draws into question both the smallish point spread and the O/U. Only two teams have scored more than 23 points on the Badgers this season - Michigan State and Iowa - and even though the Wolverines have a solid offense, they're unlikely to run it up at Camp Randall.

Prediction: Badgers 38 Wolverines 23

North Carolina State at North Carolina (-2 1/2, 53), 12:00 pm - Talk about a game being unpredictable, these two are an even 5-5 ATS in their last ten meetings. NC State has won and covered the line in the last three, but the Tar Heels are playing their final home game of the season and that means the seniors on the squad will be extra-prepared to put forth maximum effort, especially QB T.J. Yates and RB Ryan Houston.

The 7-3 Wolfpack are on the verge of greatness, but they are still young and prone to mistakes. Look for the Heels to kick them a little in this in-state rivalry.

Prediction: Tar Heels 31 Wolf Pack 21

Pittsburgh (-2 1/2, 46) at South Florida, 12:00 pm - Pitt made the Big East race very interesting by losing, 30-28, at UConn last weekend, drawing in the Huskies, West Virginia, Syracuse and these Bulls, each of whom have two losses in conference.

South Florida has one of the best defensive units in the country, and Pitt has shown a propensity for sluggishness and lack of continuity on offense all season, the biggest reason being the inconsistent play of QB Tino Sunseri. The Panthers probably should be underdogs here, as South Florida seeks some share of respectability. They're 6-3 (3-2 in conference) and a win here puts them in position to win the Big East title with West Virginia and Cincinnati still ahead.

Prediction: Bulls 24 Panthers 17

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2010, 2011, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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