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NFL Pro Football 2013 Week 11 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 11 Picks - Early Games

Welcome to the very best in winning NFL and College Football picks.
Rick Gagliano | November 14-17, 2013

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, November 14

(Byes: Dallas, St. Louis)

Indianapolis Colts (-3, 42 1/2) at Tennessee Titans, 8:25 pm - The Colts need to get back on track after being completely overwhelmed by the Rams in a 38-8 blowout on their home turf.

The Titans were likewise ambushed by the Jaguars, who came into Tennessee without a win and left with a 29-27 stunner. Those results leave the Colts with a two-game lead in the AFC South, with the Titans looking to get within a game of the division leader with a win.

Indianapolis has yet to lose two straight this season, and will keep that stat intact if their defense can hold down the Titans' rushing game. Should be a good one, but the Colts are likely to secure the win late.

Prediction: Colts 27 Titans 20


Sunday, November 17

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-1, 40 1/2), 1:00 pm - With the Jets coming off a bye week, look for them to break their season-long streak of W-L-W-L-W-L, with a second straight win, after beating up on New Orleans in week nine.

The Bills got their top draft pick, E.J. Manuel, back as their starting QB against Pittsburgh last week, but the rookie was rusty and inaccurate in a 23-10 beatdown at Pittsburgh on Sunday.

The Jets won the first meeting this season, 27-20, in New York, and have since proven to be a force on defense. The Bills are skidding, and though tough at home, they are 2-3 at Ralph Wilson Stadium. New York is only 1-3 on the road, but they know the Bills' weaknesses and QB Geno Smith has improved week-by-week.

Prediction: Jets 24 Bills 16


Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears (-3 1/2, 47), 1:00 pm - Baltimore got a much-needed win, topping the Bengals, 20-17, in overtime, to cut into Cincy's lead in the AFC North, but are still just 4-5 and trail the Bengals by 1 1/2 games, so the Ravens my be looking at a wild card if they can string together some victories, though this is a tough spot, as they are just 1-4 on the road this season.

The Bears lost a tough one at home to the Lions, failing o a two-point conversion that would have tied the game late. QB Jay Cutler was back after missing two weeks due to injury, but he wasn't 100% and was replaced in the second half.

Cutler should be closer to his old self for this meeting, but Baltimore is motivated and will either lose by a few points or get the win by a field goal. Either way, the Ravens get the nod with the points.

Prediction: Ravens 20 Bears 17


Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 42), 1:00 pm - The Browns have defied most of the skeptics, actually hanging close in the AFC North with a 4-5 record and come off a bye after topping the Ravens in week nine, 24-18.

In the first meeting of these Ohio rivals, the Browns took the win at home, 17-6, in week four, so the Bengals are seeking to return the favor and even the season series.

This contest looks a lot closer than the line might otherwise suggest and a Cleveland win would seriously tighten the division race. Cleveland's defense keeps this one close, with the Browns having an opportunity to spring the upset late.

Prediction: Bengals 23 Browns 20


Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans (-6 1/2, 43), 1:00 pm - Once again, the Texans failed late in the game, falling at Arizona, Sunday, 27-24, for their seventh straight loss. Houston's poor clock management and dubious play calling at the end of the game cost them a chance to tie or take the lead late, but they're probably not going to have to worry about a repeat of that performance against the Raiders.

Oakland will be playing their second straight road game, losing at New York, 24-20, to the Giants last week. The Raiders are a miserable road team at 0-4, though they are 3-1 ATS away from home.

Case Keenum should have a field day against the Oakland secondary and the defense should prove fatal to the Raiders, leading to the rout of the week.

Prediction: Texans 34 Raiders 6


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Arizona Cardinals (-7, 40 1/2) at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 pm - Surprising Arizona improved their record at 5-4 with a 27-24 victory at home over Houston and have themselves in good position for a wild card as the season proceeds through the second half.

Traveling to Jacksonville will be a pleasure, despite the Jaguars celebrating their first win of the season with a 29-27 win at Tennessee last week. With much to gain, the Cardinals should be able to stuff the jacksonville offense and rip through the defense for multiple scores. QB Carson Palmer has rejuvenated his career with the Cards and should lead the offense to a decisive win.

Prediction: Cardinals 28 Jaguars 14


San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins (-1 1/2, 45), 1:00 pm - With Phillip Rivers leading the offense, San Diego has been in every game this season, but fell short in a comeback bid against the Broncos last week in a 28-20 defeat, dropping the Chargers below .500, at 4-5 on the year.

Miami didn't have to make much of a trek for their Monday night encounter in Tampa Bay, so the short work week should not have any negative effect, especially since the Dolphins are home for this meeting. The Dolphins are 2-2 at home and QB Ryan Tannehill is beginning to look very comfortable in the offense, but Miami should manage a win thanks to their defense, which has been solid all season.

Prediction: Dolphins 23 Chargers 19


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Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-3 1/2, 52 1/2), 1:00 pm - It may be a little too early to use the word "desperate" in describing the Redskins' condition, but at 3-6 and on the road against the Eagles - winners of two straight and now tied with Dallas for the NFC East lead at 5-5 - a loss here would likely seal Washington's fate for the season.

What's troubling about this game for the Redskins is their defense, which has allowed a whopping 31.9 ppg, second-worst in the league, against one of the NFL's most-explosive offenses, now that Nick Foles has assumed the starting role at QB full time.

Washington has had 10 days since their most recent loss at Minnesota, 34-27, and is on the road again, where they are 1-4, their only road win coming at Oakland in week four. They're really up against it here as the Eagles are beginning to roll.

Prediction: Eagles 38 Redskins 28


Detroit Lions (-1, 47 1/2) at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 pm - The Steelers managed to produce a win against the inconsistent Bills last week, winning at home by a 23-10 score, but their defense isn't quite as good as that result would lead one to believe and their offense doesn't appear to be improving much either.

The Lions have assumed control of the NFC North with their 21-19 victory over the Bears in Chicago last Sunday and should have few issues against the Steeler defense while their defense will be able to keep the Steelers mostly out of the end zone.

Detroit is 3-2 on the road, good enough against the Steelers, who are 2-2 at home.

Prediction: Lions 28 Steelers 17


Atlanta Falcons (-1 1/2, 43) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:00 pm - Having completely unraveled with three straight losses, to Arizona, Carolina and Seattle, all by blowout levels, the 2-7 Falcons get a break, traveling to meet one of the two teams they've beaten this season (the other is the Rams).

This one qualifies as the stinker of the week, and plungers shouldnt goo too deep in this divisional clash, though Atlanta still has better on-field talent than the Buccaneers.

Prediction: Falcons 31 Buccaneers 17

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2013, 2014, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.

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