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NFL Pro Football 2013 Week 14 Picks

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Fearless Rick's NFL Week 14 Picks - Early Games

Welcome to the very best in winning NFL and College Football picks.
Rick Gagliano | December 5-8, 2013

All times Eastern - Click here for late games.

Thursday, December 5

Houston Texans (-3, 43) at Jacksonville Jaguars, 8:25 pm - Simply amazing that Houston is favored on the road, one of just two road favorites this week, the other being Kansas City.

The Texans resemble the Chiefs in no discernible way, though apparently there are suckers enough to make and keep them the choice here, even though, just two weeks ago, the Jaguars beat them, 13-6, in Houston.

The Jags are coming off a 32-28 win at Cleveland. No reason to believe they can't win their third straight and hand Houston their 11th consecutive loss.

Prediction: Jaguars 23 Texans 17

Sunday, December 8

Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-7, 42 1/2), 1:00 pm - The Vikings rallied to beat the Bears in OT last week, 23-20, but that game was at home, not the same as playing in Baltimore this week.

The Ravens held on barely, to beat Pittsburgh, 22-20, their offense struggling a little less, but the defense played well for the second straight week.

Minnesota hasn't won two in a row all season, but they're 2-1-1 over their last four games, which leads one to believe that they will keep this one in the ball park of the spread and under the total.

Prediction: Ravens 19 Vikings 14

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 43), 1:00 pm - Division leaders meet in a natural rivalry, the Bengals unbeaten (5-0) at home this season, appear to be in better shape for this after winning in San Diego, 17-10, last week, hlding the Chargers to their lowest point total of the season.

The Colts, meanwhile, gutted out a 22-14 home win over Tennessee, getting five field goals from Adam Vinatieri and finally sealing the game with just under two minutes left on a Donald Brown TD.

If the Colts had red zone problems against the Titans, those situations are probably going to manifest themselves even more so against the Bengals, now the fifth-stingiest defense in the league, allowing a mere 18 points per game.

Prediction: Bengals 27 Colts 16

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Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-11 1/2, 44 1/2), 1:00 pm - The Browns are back to the usual level of mediocrity, having lost their third in a row, losing to Jacksonville, 32-28, at home last week, running their record to 4-8.

New England spotted the Texans 10 points last week, then rallied to a 34-31 win, tying and winning the game on a pair of 53-yard kicks by Stephen Gostkowski.

This kind of win is becoming something of the norm for the Patriots, as their defense simply allows too many big plays and scores, giving up 117 points in their last four games. Their luck may run out against the Browns, though even a loss won't matter much to New England, as they hold a three-game lead in the division.

Prediction: Browns 30 Patriots 27

Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-2 1/2, 40 1/2), 1:00 pm - The only reason the Jets are favored is because they are at home. OK, maybe because their defense is pretty good, but the offense is a travesty; only Jacksonville has scored fewer points than the Jets (174-189).

New York hasn't scored a touchdown in two weeks, since losing at Buffalo, 37-14 on November 17. Oakland, at least, can produce a score or two against just about anybody, and though they've lost two straight, the last one - at Dallas, 31-24 - was on Thanksgiving, which provides a few extra days of practice and/or rest.

Considering the horrible condition of the NY offense, Oakland should win this version of the toilet bowl.

Prediction: Raiders 24 Jets 13

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-2 1/2, 54), 1:00 pm - How huge is this game? The Eagles and Lions are each 7-5 and locked in close divisional races, with wild card prospects looking very slim, as SF, NO Seattle and Carolina all are 8-4 or better, so a win is of paramount importance.

The Eagles are a deserving favorite, having racked up four wins in a row, while the Lions come off a Thanksgiving Day, 40-10, romp over the Packers. Nick Foles has been a good fit for the offense at QB, while the defense continues to improve, allowing 20 points or less in each of their last seven games.

Prediction: Eagles 27 Lions 20

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Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 40 1/2), 1:00 pm - The Dolphins got a much needed win at New York last week, topping the Jets by a 23-3 score, though they face a different kind of team in the Steelers and are on the road for the second week in a row.

Both teams are in the midst of the wild card hunt in the AFC, with Pittsburgh (5-7) needing the win more than the 6-6 Dolphins. The Steelers lost a tough one at Baltimore Monday night, 22-20, but have played well enough of late to get the nod here, having won three of their last four and five of their last eight, including three straight home wins.

Prediction: Steelers 24 Dolphins 13

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2 1/2, 42 1/2), 1:00 pm - The Bills have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, but have had a hard time finishing games, as they did last week in Toronto, giving up a lead to the Falcons and eventually losing in overtime, their fourth loss in their last five games.

Tampa Bay started 0-8, then won three straight before being blistered at Carolina last week, 27-6, so they'll likely relish home cooking after two straight road games.

Neither team has any chance of making the playoffs, though the Bills may be harboring some thoughts of winning out and finishing 8-8. This would be a good start as they play Jacksonville, Miami and New England to close out the season.

Prediction: Bills 24 Buccaneers 21

Atlanta Falcons (-2, 43 1/2) at Green Bay Packers, 1:00 pm - Aaron Rodgers is playing, still inactive due to a broken collarbone, making the Falcons an unlikely favorite on the road at Green Bay.

Atlanta has been improved the past few weeks, though they struggled with the Bills almost the entire game last Sunday before pulling the win in overtime, 34-31. As for Green Bay, they've had extra time off to lick their wounds after being hammered by the Lions on Thanksgiving, 40-10.

Clearly, the Packers are going nowhere with Matt Flynn at QB, but the weather may play a larger role in this game than who starts at QB, as it is expected to be bitterly cold. With the Packers at 5-6 and in desperate need of a win, whereas the 3-9 Falcons may just mail this one in, look for the Green Bay defense to rise up for a win.

Prediction: Packers 20 Falcons 13

Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 45) at Washington Redskins, 1:00 pm - Well, the Redskins continued their poor play Sunday night, losing to the Giants, 24-17 after leading early by two touchdowns.

The offense has shown little ability to sustain drives and the defense is more often than not, disorganized and missing many makable tackles.

KC lost again to the Broncos last week, but there's little shame in that outcome, Denver quite possibly the best team in the AFC. The Chiefs should have a field day on offense against the deficient Washington defense, which has allowed an average of 30.2 points per outing, second-worst in the league.

Prediction: Chiefs 34 Redskins 14

All times Eastern - Click here for late games

Copyright 2013, 2014, Rick Gagliano, Downtown Magazine. All rights reserved. Downtown Magazine is located in the Uinted States of America and is not affiliated with the National Football League or the NCAA. For more information, contact us here. Use of this site is for entertainment purposes only.


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