NFL Week 5 Picks - Late Games

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NFL Week 5 Late Games

All times Eastern

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Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers (-9 1/2, 47) 4:05 pm (Fox) - Though they are just 1-3, the thing about Miami is that they keep playing for the full 60 minutes. They are far from a walkover and have covered each week this season. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick isn't going to win any style awards, but he keeps flinging until the very end, which is why, despite San Francisco probably being a far superior squad, the Dolphins have a reasonable chance every time they take the field.

If the trend holds, the Dolphins will lose by 7 or 8 points.

Coin Flip: Miami

Prediction: 49ers 24 Dolphins 17

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-11, 45) 4:25 pm (CBS) - If Brian Hoyer is the starter, Denver stands a chance at New England in what could be a defensive battle, but if Cam Newton is ready to go after testing positive for COVID-19, New England should demolish the Broncos, whose only win is over the Jets.

Coin Flip: Denver

Prediction: Patriots (w/Newton) 27 Broncos 13

Indianapolis Colts (-2 1/2, 47 1/2) at Cleveland Browns 4:25 pm (CBS) - Picking up Phillip Rivers in the off-season has apparently worked wonders for the Colts, now 3-1 after dusting Chicago on the road last week, 19-11.

The Browns also improved to 3-1, putting up 49 on the Cowboys last week. Cleveland's only loss was at Baltimore in week one, 38-6, and the offense is clicking, scoring 35, 34, nd 49 points the last three games. It's unlikely that Cleveland will put up that many on the Colts, who have the best scoring defense in the NFL (56 points allowed through four games), but the Browns will hit pay dirt more than once.

A shootout is possible, but figure on the Colts to rise up defensively in the fourth quarter and hang on for the win.

Coin Flip: Indianapolis

Prediction: Colts 26 Browns 21

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-9 1/2, 54) 4:25 pm (CBS) - Ugly is the word for the Dallas defense, the worst in the league. It's a good thing they're meeting the Giants, who are averaging fewer than 12 points a game (47 total, league low).

One has to figure on Dallas outscoring these guys by a bunch, but how did the New Yorkers manage to hold the Rams to just 17 points? Lots of confusion in this key NFC East contest. Dallas can't stop anybody, and, until they prove otherwise, giving away points is not a good idea.

Coin Flip: Dallas

Prediction: Giants 27 Cowboys 24

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-7, 58) 8:20 pm (NBC) - Minnesota finally got a number into the win column, dropping the Texans last week, 31-23, and their record may be a function of the teams they've played thus far. Green Bay, Indianapolis and Tennessee have a combined record of 10-1, so maybe the Vikings aren't so bad after all.

Seattle is very good, no doubt, but don't sleep on the Vikings, who will give the Seahawks a real tussle.

Coin Flip: Minnesota

Prediction: Vikings 32 Seahawks 30

Monday, October 12

Los Angeles Chargers at New Orleans Saints (-7 1/2, 52) 8:15 pm (ESPN) - Justin Herbert, LA QB, has proven himself capable as a starter in the NFL. Now, all he needs is a win to cement his spot in the pantheon of players.

The Saints are at a distinct disadvantage without fans, and the lack of noise in the Superdome might just be enough to give young Herbert a bit of space. They like to call New Orleans the Big Easy. We'll call this game the changing of the guard as the youthful arm of Justin Herbert outshines the aging tendons of Drew Brees.

The Chargers have lost by three in overtime to Kansas City, by five to Carolina, and by a touchdown on the road last week, 38-31, to Tampa Bay. They're facing up to a high level of competition and holding their own. The players are hungry for a win.

Coin Flip: Los Angeles Chargers

Prediction: Chargers 35 Saints 30

UPDATED 10/12: To be Played October 13, 7:00 pm ET
Buffalo Bills (-3 1/2, 53) at Tennessee Titans (CBS) - The Bills look like a solid play. Players testing positive and likely inactive include defensive linemen Daquan Jones and Jeffery Simmons, OL Kanalei Correa, wide receivers Cam Batson and Adam Humphries, fullback Khari Blasingame, and CB Kristian Fulton.

If those players don't suit up, the Titans will be severely short-handed at some key positions and the Bills have had extra time - without interruption - to prepare. Playing a Tuesday night game is tricky, but both teams being unbeaten the edge belongs to the Bills, and rightfully so. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has panned out in his third season and is playing beyond expectations. The Bills have been building to playoff status for the past three years and they seemingly have arrived.

Sure, the Titans went to the conference championship last season, but that was last season and they come into this game short-handed and with limited practice.

Coin Flip: Tennessee

Prediction: Bills 31 Titans 17

Bye: Detroit, Green Bay

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