NCAA College Football Week 11 Picks - Early Games

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NCAA College Week 11 - early games

NCAA College Week 11 - late games

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Fearless Rick & Coin Flip NCAA Week 11 Early Games

All times Eastern

Click here for late games.

Write-ups and picks with Claude AI, Assistant Publisher

Week 10 Results: Rick: 7-6-1; Flip: 7-6-1
Cumulative: Rick: 68–67-4; Flip 66–69-4

Thursday, November 12

Memphis (-3, 49.5) @ South Florida 8:00 pm (ESPN) - Classic irresistible force vs. immovable object. Memphis has scored about 43 points a game in its seven wins, and QB Marcus Stokes has 25 TD passes and 300-yard games all over his conference résumé. South Florida counters with a top-10 scoring defense (15 points allowed per game), but the Bulls' offense is the problem: outside of a 59-point romp over Delaware State, they haven't scored more than 30 on anybody, and their longest pass play all year is 42 yards. In a game that needs a field goal's worth of separation, take the team that can actually score.

Coin Flip: Memphis

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Tigers 31 Bulls 24


Friday, November 13

Illinois @ 4 UCLA (-10, 47.5) 9:00 pm (FOX) - The unbeaten Bruins have covered in every one of their wins, and they're nearly impossible at the Rose Bowl, where their defense has allowed 0, 10 and 7 points in recent home games. Backup-turned-starter Ty Dieffenbach has steadied things since Nico Iamaleava's season-ending knee injury, throwing for 303 yards and three scores against Minnesota last week. Illinois has won four straight and covered at Ohio State, so this isn't a pushover, but the Bruins' defense at home makes the difference. Ten points is a lot, but UCLA gets there.

Coin Flip: Illinois

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Bruins 30 Illini 17


14 Houston (-10, 52) @ Colorado 10:15 pm (ESPN) - Houston (7-2) is the better team and should win, but laying 10 on the road at altitude, late on a Friday night, is asking a lot of a team that's just 3-6 against the spread. Colorado is a mess at 3-6 with Deion Sanders fielding questions about his job, but the Buffs play their best ball in Boulder, beating Kansas State and nearly knocking off Utah and Texas Tech there. They need to win out for a bowl, so expect full effort. Cougars win, Buffs cover.

Coin Flip: Houston

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cougars 31 Buffaloes 27


Saturday, November 14

Duke @ 5 Miami (-13.5, 54.5) 12:00 pm (ABC) - Darian Mensah faces the school he led to an ACC title last year, and he's been sensational in Miami: 28 TDs, 2 picks, 76% completions. But the Canes just lost to Notre Dame and are now without star WR Malachi Toney (1,027 yards, 13 TDs) after ankle surgery. Duke is 7-2 against the spread and outscored Boston College and NC State 88-5 the last two weeks behind RB Nate Sheppard (1,189 yards, 17 TDs). Miami wins at home, but two touchdowns is too many against a team this hot.

Coin Flip: Duke

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Hurricanes 31 Blue Devils 24



Northwestern @ 21 Ohio State (-12.5, 46) 12:00 pm (FOX) - Who saw this coming? Both teams are 6-3, and the Buckeyes have dropped two straight to Oregon and USC. Ohio State's defense is still stout (4.6 yards per play allowed), but its offense has turned the ball over and the team is just 4-5 against the spread. Northwestern doesn't beat itself: the Wildcats have thrown only one interception all season and run the ball better than OSU does. The Bucks probably win in the Horseshoe, but not by two touchdowns.

Coin Flip: Ohio State

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buckeyes 27 Wildcats 20


11 Wake Forest (-1.5, 61.5) @ 25 SMU 12:00 pm (ESPN) - Wake Forest is the surprise of the ACC at 8-1, 4-0 on the road, and has outscored its last five opponents 264-31. QB Gio Lopez (18 TDs, 1 INT) returns from a leg injury, and coach Jake Dickert says he's ready. SMU is unbeaten at home and can sling it (Kevin Jennings has 25 TD passes), but the Mustangs rank near the bottom nationally in red-zone defense and turnover margin. The Deacs are the most penalized team in FBS, which keeps this close, but Wake covers a short number.

Coin Flip: Wake Forest

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Demon Deacons 34 Mustangs 30


Click here for late games.


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