NCAA College Football Week 1 Picks - Early Games

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NCAA College Week 1 - late games

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Fearless Rick & Coin Flip NCAA Week 1 Late Games

All times Eastern

Click here for early games.

Saturday, August 30, 2025

1 Texas at 3 Ohio State (-2.5, 48) 12:00 pm (FOX) - This is the big one, a game with eventual playoff implication contested by last season’s national champion and the team they beat (28-14) to claim the crown. Bear in mind, the game was decided late in the fourth quarter on an 83-yard fumble recovery by Jack Sawyer as the Longhorns were close to Ohio State’s goal line with the score 21-14.

There are so many variables in this game that it is impossible to list them all, but the biggest is at quarterback. Arch Manning gets his first big game start for the Longhorns, and he should play to his potential, which is very high. Ohio State will start Julian Sayin, who has limited experience, but can really fling it and has experienced receivers.

This will be a coaches’ game. Texas’ Steve Sarkisian and the Buckeyes’ Ryan Day have both been in big games before.

The teams have met four times before, with two wins each. Tiebreaker goes to Ohio State, though the Longhorns, and their defense, will be tough to beat, but Ohio State, at home? Look out.

Coin Flip: Texas

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Buckeyes 27 Longhorns 20


Syracuse at 24 Tennessee (-13.5, 50.5) 12:00 pm - The Volunteers continue to be just a step below the elite teams in college football and are likely to have more success in 2025. Despite a 10-3 record last year, QB Nico Iamaleava wasn’t truly very good and he left the team this spring for UCLA after a complete failure in the CFP, losing 42-17 to Ohio State. He’s replace at QB by Joey Aguilar, a transfer from Appalachian State. The Vols will be rugged, as usual, on defense, and the offense will likely be more consistent.

Syracuse should prove a worthy opponent in this opener. They also finished 10-3 in 2024, ending their season with a 52-35 win over Washington State in the Holiday Bowl. With losses to Stanford, Pitt, and Boston College, given a some breaks, fewer mental errors and turnovers the Orange could have been undefeated. They also have a new QB, Steve Angeli, a transfer from Notre Dame. The Orange will not go quietly and are probably good enough to make this much closer than the line suggests.

Coin Flip: Tennessee

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Volunteers 34 Orange 30


Nevada at 2 Penn State (-44, 56.5) 3:30 pm (CBS) - The Nittany Lions aren’t ranked #2 preseason for no reason. They’re projected to have one of the top defenses in the country and once again challenge Ohio State and Michigan in the Big Ten, especially with the return of QB Drew Allar.

The Wolf Pack was 0-7 in Mountain West play in 2024 and 3-10 overall. This is a patsy for Penn State in a workout for starters and subs.

Coin Flip: Penn State

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Nittany Lions 56 Wolf Pack 6


8 Alabama (-13, 51) at Florida State 3:30 pm (ABC) - The Seminoles were a complete flop in 2024, ranked in the top 10 preseason, but ending up 2-10, with wins over Cal and Charleston Southern the only bright spots. Attempting to rebound from that nightmare against an Alabama program with much to prove may be a bridge too far.

The Crimson Tide had, for them, a down year, at 9-4, in the first year with Kalen DeBoer as head coach. The Tide faithful will not tolerate anything less than a playoff run this season and a big win here is expected.

Coin Flip: Florida State

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Crimson Tide 42 Seminoles 14


South Dakota at Iowa State (-14.5, 47.5) 3:30 pm (FOX) - The Cyclones took out Kansas State last week in the season opener at Dublin, Ireland, 24-21, and will be trying to avoid an emotional letdown.

South Dakota is one of the top Division II teams and will show up with ill intent. Last season, they upset the Badgers, 27-13, at Wisconsin, so they’re capable of winning when they’re road dogs.

Iowa State has the advantage on both sides of the ball, but this is also a trap game for them with Iowa next week. A squeaker?

Coin Flip: South Dakota

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Cyclones 27 Coyotes 23


9 LSU at 4 Clemson (-3.5, 57.5) 7:00 pm (ABC) - Word has it that Clemson is loaded and looking to get back into the National Championship groove. QB Cade Klubnik is among the favorites to win the Heisman, and the Clemson defense will be one of the best in the country.

LSU, as usual, a contender in the SEC, lacks consistency in their running game and will find first downs at a premium. Look for Clemson’s defense to give their offense favorable field position and the offense to get off the mark early and score often.

Coin Flip: Clemson

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Clemson Tigers 38 LSU Tigers 17



New Mexico at 14 Michigan (-34.5, 50) 7:30 pm (NBC) - The Lobos didn’t make the post-season with a 5-7 mark in 2024, but did manage to go 3-4 in the Mountain West, so they’re not exactly a punching bag, though out-of-conference losses to Arizona (61-39) and Auburn (45-19) reveal their deficiencies against Big 6 college teams.

Michigan is expected to return to the elite ranks of the college world. Bryce Underwood is the starter at QB for the Wolverines, after a season in which they struggled for offense, he is a capable passer. The Michigan defense is going to be top-shelf, proven in their 13-10 win over Ohio State and a 19-13 win over Alabama in the Reliaquest Bowl to close out the season. They may pitch a shutout here.

Coin Flip: New Mexico

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Wolverines 45 Lobos 3


Sunday, August 31, 2025

Virginia Tech at 13 South Carolina (-8, 52.5) 3:00 pm (ESPN) - South Carolina could be one of the sleeper teams of 2025. They finished the regular season at 9-3 and were within a whisker of making the 12-team national playoff. Instead, they ended up at the Citrus Bowl and lost a dogfight to Illinois, 21-17.

The Gamecocks have very high hopes and plenty of talent, including returning QB LaNorris Sellers, who can, and has, hurt opponents with his hands and his feet. He led the team in passing and rushing in their upset win over Clemson, 17-14, last season.

The Hokies went 6-6 last season, found their way to the Duke’s Mayo Bowl and got plastered by Minnesota, 24-10. They’re a mid-level ACC squad with some upside, but this is a tough place to start.

Coin Flip: Virginia Tech

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Gamecocks 34 Hokies 20


6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at 10 Miami 7:30 pm (ABC) - Carson Beck replaces Cam Ward at QB, and that may be a problem for Miami, beyond the pressure of Notre Dame’s stout defense.

There’s a reason Beck left Georgia. His future there was as a non-starter there, thus the transfer portal worked out for him. The Fighting Irish are seeking a national championship and could make life miserable for the Miami faithful.

Coin Flip: Miami

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Fighting Irish 27 Hurricanes 17


Monday, September 1, 2025

TCU (-3, 56) at North Carolina 8:00 pm (ESPN) - The highly anticipated debut of Bill Belichick as a college head coach for North Carolina closes out the big college weekend with a bang.

North Carolina was a disappointing 6-7 last year, losing to UConn, 27-14, in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl fo close out the season. Enter Belichick and many portal moves. The coach knows how to put players into positions in which they can be successful and he’s likely going to do that with the Tar Heels. TCU will give them a good game. They were 9-4, but didn’t play any teams that ended the season ranked.

Tar Heels should take care of business.

Coin Flip: North Carolina

Fearless Rick’s Pick: Tar Heels 30 Horned Frogs 21


Click here for early games.


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