NCAA College Football Week 5 Picks - Late Games
NCAA Week 5 Late Games
All times Eastern
3:30 pm #13 Texas A&M at #2 Alabama (-17, 51) - Taking a stand against Alabama based on the Aggies' 17-12 home opening win over Vanderbilt probably isn't a good tactic. Alabama won last year's meeting, 47-28, and has won seven straight against A&M since Johnny Manziel helped turn the Tide back, 29-24, in 2012.
Alabama had an easy time topping Missouri last week, 38-19, and should take it to the Aggies pretty convincingly here.
Coin Flip: Alabama
Prediction: Crimson Tide 41 Aggies 17
Their latest win shouldn't be considered too harshly. Though 1-3, Texas State has been close before, losing to SMU, 31-24, and UTSA, 51-48, so the fact that BC struggled against them isn't that devastating.
North Carolina hasn't played since their September 12 win over Syracuse, a dominant, 31-6 result, and they may be a little rusty, plus road games are always more difficult than home games. Despite both teams being in the ACC, they are in different divisions and seldom meet. The last time was 2013, when North Carolina won at home, 34-10.
Coin Flip: North Carolina
Prediction: Tar Heels 24 Eagles 17
SMU has plenty of offense and the Tiger defense doesn't appear capable of keeping them at bay.
Coin Flip: Memphis
Prediction: Mustangs 45 Tigers 38
While K-State's victory may have been more impressive, the Texas Tech offense was remarkable and that should give them an upper hand in this tough road test.
Coin Flip: Texas Tech
Prediction: Red Raiders 37 Wildcats 35
The Bulldogs' defense is nothing to bark at, either, so it may end up being a long day for Auburn fans.
Coin Flip: Auburn
Prediction: Bulldogs 30 Tigers 19
What's at issue, however, is UCF, which has spent the better parts of the past three seasons beating down one after another, usually by big scores. The Knights are favored to win the American Athletic Conference title, and so far, their 49-21 win over Georgia Tech and a 51-28 romp past East Carolina have them looking good. The problem is a three-TD+ line, which is a bunch, especially if Tulsa shows up defensively.
Tulsa was just 4-8 last season, but they played the Knights to a standstill in a 34-31 home loss. An upset could be in the making, but everything will have to fall Tulsa's way. In any case, they should keep this one close.
Coin Flip: UCF
Prediction: Knights 31 Golen Hurricane 27
The Bulldogs should make quick work of visiting Arkansas. The Razorbacks were no match for Georgia last week, losing, 37-10. Last season, they went 2-10 without a single conference win. Looks like a rough road ahead.
Coin Flip: Mississippi State
Prediction: Bulldogs 54 Razorbacks 16
Coin Flip: Oklahoma
Prediction: Sooners 34 Cyclones 24
Clemson loves its football, and the weather should be right for the Tigers to go to 3-0 and remain #1 in the polls. They topped Wake Forest, 37-13, in their road opener and ripped little Citadel, 49-0, two weeks ago. Giving the Tigers a week off just doesn't seem fair, especially since they tore up Virginia in last season's conference title game, 62-17.
Coin Flip: Clemson
Prediction: Tigers 58 Cavaliers 13
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Week 5 Early Games
3:30 pm #12 North Carolina (-13 1/2, 55) at Boston College - At 2-0, the Eagles look to upend the visiting Tar Heels and get to 2-0 in the ACC. Wins over Duke, 26-6, and Texas State have them off to a solid start, though they had to overcome a 14-point deficit in their latest, pulling off a 24-21 win against the three-touchdown underdog Bobcats.
3:30 pm #25 Memphis (-2 1/2, 74 1/2) at SMU - Solid match-upon the American Athletic Conference. First conference game for each team. Perennial contender Memphis is off to a 1-0 start after defeating Arkansas State in an unimpressive 37-24 victory at home and has to travel to SMU, where the Mustangs have galloped to a 3-0 mark, shamelessly beating up on defenseless Stephen F. Austin, 50-7, last week.
3:30 pm Texas Tech at Kansas State (-1 1/2, 63) - With Kansas State pulling off the upset of Oklahoma last week, 38-35, and Texas Tech losing to Texas in OT, 63-56, it's remarkable that neither team is ranked this Saturday as they both have shown great potential.
7:30 pm #7 Auburn at #4 Georgia (-7, 45) - Auburn dusted Kentucky fairly handily, 29-13, while Georgia took a while to get rolling, but put away Arkansas easily, 37-10. The troops from southern Alabama have a quality squad, but this Georgia offense appears to be on the verge of breaking out of the pack and strutting their stuff.
7:30 pm Tulsa at #11 UCF (-22, 71 1/2) - In their only game this season, the Golden Hurricane was shunted by Oklahoma State, 16-7, which says either OSU isn't very good and Tulsa isn't either, or maybe they're both not bad. The Cowboys took down West Virginia last week, 27-13, so it appears there is some defense in the Big 12, which is a tip of the cap to Tulsa.
7:30 pm Arkansas at #16 Mississippi State (-18, 69) - The genius of Mike Leach's creative offense put down the reigning national champions, LSU, last week, in a stunning beatdown, 44-34, and are a team with which to reckon for the rest of the season. The SEC hasn't witnessed anything like the Bulldogs' offense and the defensive effort in their season-opening victory was an added bonus.
7:30 pm #18 Oklahoma (-7, 62) at Iowa State - Oklahoma's defense completely fell apart against Kansas State, and the Sooners aren't going to be able to fix what's broken in a week's time. Iowa State was stunned by Louisiana in their opener, 31-14, and came back to win at TCU, 37-34, last week, but they're likely still overmatched against an Oklahoma team looking to make amends.
8:00 pm Virginia at #1 Clemson (-28, 55) - The Cavaliers have played just one game this season, and they won, beating Duke, 38-20. That's not saying much, as the Blue Devils seem to be awaiting basketball season in the ACC.
