NCAA Week 10 Picks - Early Games
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All times Eastern
Week 9 Results: Rick 8-7; Coin: 7-8
7:30 pm Georgia State at #24 Louisiana (-12, 53 1/2) - Finally getting the respect they deserve for a 5-0 conference record (7-1 overall), the Rain' Cajuns are on a six game win streak, have the best defense in the conference and are coming off an October 30, 45-0, beatdown of Texas State.
Georgia State's Panthers are 3-1 in the Sun Belt, but 4-4 overall. Winners of three straight, they are a good squad, but catching the Cajuns at just the wrong time as Louisiana is playing its best football of the year.
Coin Flip: Georgia State
Prediction: Ragin' Cajuns 38 Panthers 17
11:30 am Army vs. Air Force (-2 1/2, 37 1/2) - Army's Black knights need to get back on track. They won their first four games this season, but have dropped the last three, coming off a 70-56 loss to Wake Forest. Other than that game, the defense has been good.
The Falcons were rolling along at 6-1 when they ran into San Diego State, and were dumped, 20-14, on October 23. Big edge on defense for Air Force (16.8 points allowed vs. 27.7 for Army. Game is at neutral Choctaw Stadium in Arlington, Texas. These are the top two rushing offenses in the country, so a defensive battle is likely.
Coin Flip: Air Force
Prediction: Falcons 24 Black Knights 17
On the other side, Ohio State, at 5-0 in the conference, has a point differential of 158, meaning they're winning their games by an average of 30 points or more. That sounds like a reliable statistic even though they're on the road.
Coin Flip: Ohio State
Prediction: Buckeyes 48 Cornhuskers 21
At 4-4, the Tar Heels need to win two of their remaining four games to go 6-6 and get to a bowl game. They have a home game against Wofford and two road games, at Pitt, and NC State. Will that be enough motivation to defeat 8-0 Wake Forest? Doubt it.
Coin Flip: North Carolina
Prediction: Demon Deacons 45 Tar Heels 38
The Flames average 37.4 points per game, the Rebels, 39.1. Looks like a shootout.
Coin Flip: Liberty
Prediction: Rebels 42 Flames 37
The 7-1 Mustangs lost for the first time all season, falling at Houston, 44-37, last week, but look to rebound at Memphis. The Tigers are just 1-3 in the conference and 4-4 overall. If Henigan starts, the game may be closer. If he remains sidelined, look for an SMU blowout.
Coin Flip: SMU
Prediction: Mustangs 38 Tigers 20
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Cumulative: Rick: 76-71-3; 79-68-3
Thursday, November 4
Saturday, November 6
12:00 pm #6 Ohio State (-15, 64) at Nebraska - The Cornhuskers occupy the bottom of the Big Ten West with a 1-5 mark, but their point differential is only 23 points. They usually lose, but not by much. In fact, their biggest loss was an 8point defeat at Illinois to open the season. Plus, their only conference win was a 56-7 rout of Northwestern.
12:00 pm #10 Wake Forest at North Carolina (-2 1/2, 77) - The difference-maker in this contest will be defense. North Carolina does not have one, while the Deacons do, but it's not very good. Both teams have prolific offenses. They are the #2 (Wake) and #3 (NC) offenses in the conference.
12:00 pm Liberty at #15 Ole Miss (-9 1/2, 68) - Ole Miss lost last week at Auburn, 31-20, dropping them to 6-2 and completely out of the running for the SEC West title, as their other loss is to Alabama, 4-1 in the division. Even though this is not a conference game, the Rebels best be careful, as Liberty can stay on the field with just about any team in the nation. They are 7-2, and both losses were by three points and road games, at Syracuse and UL Monroe.
12:00 pm #23 SMU (-5 1/2, 70 1/2) at Memphis - Tigers' QB Seth Henigan is a gamete decision as he continues to recover from a right shoulder injury suffered against Navy, October 14. The Tigers lost to UCF the following week and had a bye last week, but they've been on the losing end in four of their last five games.
