NFL Week 6 Picks - Early Games
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All times Eastern
Week 5 Results: Rick: 6-9-1; Coin: 7-8-1
Bye: Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, NY Jets, San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 52 1/2) at Philadelphia Eagles 8:20 pm (FOX/NFLN) - The Eagles trailed throughout last week's game, but, late in the fourth quarter, Jalen Hurts ran in from six yards out and the Eagles managed a two-point conversion for the 21-18 victory. The Eagles ended a three-game losing streak.
Tampa Bay easily handled Miami, 45-17, improving to 4-1. Tom Brady threw for 411 yards and five TDs. The Eagles need to find a running game quickly, though Hurts supplies an added element with some deft moves out of the backfield. Philly's secondary picked off Sam Darnold three times and sacked him three times in their win over Carolina and held the Panthers to 286 yards total offense. If they can pressure Brady, they can pull off the upset.
Coin Flip: Philadelphia
Prediction: Eagles 26 Buccaneers 24
Miami Dolphins (-3 1/2, 47) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (London), 9:30 am - The Jaguars may have found a spot to end their 20-game losing streak and it just may be in London against the flailing Dolphins, who began the season with a 17-16 win at New England, but have since lost four straight, since losing Tua Tagovailoa to injury. Tua may be able to play here, as he's off IR. Regardless of his status, Trevor Lawrence has seen enough NFL defenses to produce a win. Miami's defense, which is 30th in points allowed (30.8), will help him out.
Jacksonville's defense will also benefit from Miami's lack of a ground game. The Dolphins are dead last in rushing, producing a mere 70.4 yards per game on the ground.
Coin Flip: Miami
Prediction: Jaguars 31 Dolphins 20
Coin Flip: LA Chargers
Prediction: Chargers 34 Ravens 33
Coin Flip: Minnesota
Prediction: Panthers 27 Vikings 16
Meanwhile, the Bear come in a threat to Green Bay's hold on first place in the division. Chicago has won three of their last four since Justin Fields became the starting QB. He should improve weekly and this will be a big test, though the Bears' defense may give him plenty of help as they are among the stingiest in the league, allowing just 20.0 points per game. Most of their points allowed - 60 of 92 - came in losses to the Rams and Browns. When they win, they allow an average of 10.6.
Coin Flip: Green Bay
Prediction: Bears 31 Packers 23
The Bengals played Green Bay to a standstill, and, while Joe Burrow gets plenty of credit for Cincinnati's emergence as a potential playoff team, the defense has been solid, tied with the Bears at #7 in points allowed, at 20.0 per game. The Bengals may be on the verge of a blowout and this looks like a very spicy spot.
Coin Flip: Detroit
Prediction: Bengals 38 Lions 13
The Colts come off an overtime Monday night loss to the Ravens, 31-25. Carson Wentz has kept the Colts in most of their games, but to no avail as the defense is one of the worst in the league, leaving Indy with a record identical to the Texans, at 1-4. Arguably, Houston's defense is worse, as is their offense, but by small margins. The Texans have a reasonable shot to upset here.
Coin Flip: Houston
Prediction: Texans 30 Colts 27
Even though they're at home, they don't appear to be a good match for the Rams even if they were fully healthy. This is the heavy line of the week, usually a sign that a blowout is about to happen.
Coin Flip: NY Giants
Prediction: Rams 40 Giants 7
The Chiefs haven't done anything wrong other than have opponents exploit their porous defense. Against the Football Team in Washington, they should manage to outscore them, no matter how bad the defense plays. Believe it or not, KC's defense is dead last in the league, allowing 32.6 points per game. Guess who's next. Yep. Washington, 31.0. Taylor Heinike, meet Patrick Mahomes.
Coin Flip: Kansas City
Prediction: Chiefs 43 Football Team 27
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Cumulative: Rick 35-43-2; Coin 33-45-2
Thursday, October 14
Sunday, October 17
LA Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 52) 1:00 pm - Solid matchup between division leaders, both teams 4-1. Baltimore is unbeaten at home (2-0), but so are the Chargers as roadies (also 2-0). As the line indicates, this one could go down to the wire, as the two teams are nearly a statistical dead heat. Points may come in handy along with Justin Herbert's ability to rally for late scores.
Minnesota Vikings (-1, 46) at Carolina Panthers 1:00 pm - Probably the most disappoint team in the league, the Vikings managed to squeak by the Lions last week, 19-17, improving to 2-3. Carolina was upended late by the Eagles, 21-18, but they remain home for a second straight week, an edge for them. Watch this line move as game time approaches. There's not much logic to making the Vikings the favorite when the Panthers are home, have a statistical edge on both sides of the ball, and own a better record (3-2).
Green Bay Packers (-4 1/2, 45) at Chicago Bears 1:00 pm - The 4-1 Packers are fine at home, but, despite a 2-1 record on the road, they struggle on foreign ground. Their two road wins, were 30-28 over the 49ers and last week's 25-22 overtime fiasco against the Bengals.
Cincinnati Bengals (-3 1/2, 47 1/2) at Detroit Lions 1:00 pm - Don't look now, but the Lions are 0-5 and if Jacksonville finds a win in London Sunday morning, they'll be the only team in the league without a victory. Detroit managed another 19-17 loss last week, the same score they surrendered to Baltimore last month.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-9 1/2, 42 1/2) 1:00 pm - Watch out for Houston here. Last week, QB Davis Mills threw for 312 yards on 21-29 completions and three TDs in the Texans' 25-22 loss to the Patriots. He's improved to the point at which opponents have to take him seriously.
LA Rams (-10 1/2, 47 1/.2) at NY Giants 1:00 pm - The giants are probably the most banged up team in the league, and they'll likely not avail themselves of the services of Saquon Barkley, their leading rusher, and possibly QB Daniel Jones, who suffered a concussion in NY's loss to Dallas last Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 55) at Washington Football Team, 1:00 pm - It's true. Kansas City is 2-3 and dead last in the AFC West. But, look at who's beaten them. The Ravens, Chargers and Bills are all leading their divisions with 4-1 records, so, if there's a category for quality losses, KC has found it.
