NCAA Week 8 Picks - Late Games
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NCAA Week 8 Late Games
All times Eastern
3:00 pm Wisconsin (-3, 40) at #25 Purdue - The Boilermakers shocked just about everybody (except Fearless Rick and Coin Flip) when they stunned Iowa, 24-7, last week. The Purdue defense - ranked fifth in scoring nationally (14.0) - produced four interceptions and QB Aidan O'connell threw for 375 yards, 2TDs and ran for another, emerging as a top-flight pro-style quarterback.
The Boilermakers have losses to Minnesota and Notre Dame, and find themselves in the midst of a three-way struggle for the West division of the Big Ten.
Wisconsin is just 3-3, and, while their defense is good enough, the offense lacks talent and depth to compete with Purdue. Shocking that the Badgers are favored despite being on the road.
Coin Flip: Purdue
Prediction: Boilermakers 28 Badgers 13
The Cowboys have beaten Kansas State, Baylor, and Texas in their last three. They're not likely to give up their position in the standings easily. A case can be made for either team, but the spread seems excessive.
Coin Flip: Iowa State
Prediction: Cyclones 26 Cowboys 23
The Ducks, mostly noted for their 35-28 win over Ohio State earlier this season, have struggled of late, losing in overtime at Stanford, 31-24, and last week struggling against Cal, in a 2417 win. They're looking vulnerable against a high octane offense.
Coin Flip: UCLA
Prediction: Bruins 38 Ducks 29
The Rebels won, 31-26, at Tennessee last week to improve to 5-1. Their only loss is to Alabama, but their two SEC wins haven't been very convincing. It would be a grave mistake to think the LSU players were not going to give a complete effort for coach Orgeron. The Rebels are very vulnerable on defense.
Coin Flip: Ole Miss
Prediction: Tigers 38 Rebels 35
The Tigers squeaked by Boston College 19-13 on October 2nd, and won 17-14 at Syracuse. Pitt comes in 5-1, ranked and looking for red meat after successive blowout road wins, 52-21, over Georgia Tech, and 28-7, over Virginia Tech. They're peaking, at home, it's homecoming weekend and QB Kenny Pickett is having his best season as a starter (21 TD, 1 INT)
Coin Flip: Pittsburgh
Prediction: Panthers 30 Tigers 17
Tennessee comes off a 31-26 home loss to Ole Miss, a team the Crimson Tide walloped, 42-21. While the Vols aren't likely to win this one on the road, they are improving and Alabama may be looking ahead to a bye week and November 6, when they host LSU. The Tide returned to the #4 spot after Iowa was taken out by Purdue, and they're unlikely to give up that position. The Vols have played well enough to not get blown out early
Coin Flip: Tennessee
Prediction: Crimson Tide 42 Volunteers 31
San Diego State is 6-0 but had to go to three OTs against Utah and two overtimes against San Jose State last week.
Coin Flip: San Diego State
Prediction: Falcons 21 Aztecs 16
It seems to have been too much for the aspiring Penix, as he's been ineffective this year and lost the starting role to Jack Tuttle, who is probably better conditioned to run the offense. TheHoosiers still have the nucleus of a solid football team, but aren't at the level of Ohio State, though the Buckeyes have only played two quality teams, Minnesota and Oregon, and they lost to Oregon.
This one may be a little closer than Buckeye fans would like.
Coin Flip: Ohio State
Prediction: Buckeyes 30 Hoosiers 18
USC has its own set of issues, mostly inconsistency and a defense that is often out of sync. Notre Dame is likely to find a way to win, especially at home, but the Trojans are 2-0 on the road.
Coin Flip: Notre Dame
Prediction: Fighting Irish 35 Trojans 21
The Gamecocks aren't very good: 1-3 in the conference, with losses to Georgia, Kentucky, and Tennessee, and their lone win a 21-20 thriller over Vanderbilt. On the road, they probably don't stand much much of a chance against Texas A&M, now that Zach Calzada has gotten a feel for the offense. Isaiah Spiller and Devon Achane are the best running back combo in college football. SC won't be able to stop both of them.
Coin Flip: Texas A&M
Prediction: Aggies 39 Gamecocks 10
NC State improved to 5-1 off their 33-7 dusting of Boston College and now have strung together four straight wins, including a 27-21 double overtime win over Clemson. Look for the Wolfpack to move up the rankings as they look to vie for the ACC championship along with Pitt and Wake Forest.
Coin Flip: NC State
Prediction: Wolfpack 35 Hurricanes 14
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3:30 pm #8 Oklahoma State at Iowa State (-7, 47) - Here's a real oddity. The Cowboys are ranked #8 and they're a touchdown underdog at 4-2 Iowa State. It's probably because the Cyclones have QB Brock Purdy, one of the best at his position, and are known for a heady defense, allowing just 16.3 ppg this season. The Cowboys aren't far removed, giving up on average 19.5 points. Iowa State also holds an edge offensively.
3:30 pm #10 Oregon at UCLA (-2 1/2, 59) - Here's another ranked team as a road dog, as the 5-1 Ducks travel south to meet the 5-2 Bruins. UCLA has a pretty big edge on offense and the defense has been coming around after road wins at Arizona (34-16) and Washington (24-17). Playing at home gives UCLA a distinct edge. UCLA's losses to Fresno State and Arizona State were not bad and the Bruins look to return to the Top 25 with a win here.
3:30 pm LSU at #12 Ole Miss (-9 1/2, 75) - Right after LSU's 49-42 win over Florida Saturday, the college and coach Ed Orgeron agreed to part company. On Sunday, they announced that Orgeron would be leaving at the end of the 2021 season. The Tigers are just 9-8 after winning the 2019-20 national championship and they are 4-3 this season with losses to UCLA, Auburn, and Kentucky.
3:30 pm Clemson at #23 Pittsburgh (-3, 48) - Clemson's rapid fall from the high echelon of college football is testament to the importance of star players. The Tigers lost a bunch to graduation after last season and have been paying for it this year, checking in with a 4-2 record, an exceptional defense, but an offense that has struggled to maintain consistency.
7:00 pm Tennessee at #4 Alabama (-24 1/2, 67) - The Volunteers have a high-scoring offense but fall well short of quality on defense. The Vols are ranked #11 in scoring, putting up 39.3 points per outing. Alabama is better, ranked #4, at 45 points per game. Alabama is allowing 20.1; Tennessee, 22.9, so there isn't much separating them on the surface.
7:00 pm #22 San Diego State (-3 1/2, 40) at Air Force - The Falcons seem to have perfected the option run game this season, averaging 336 yards per game while running up a 6-1 record, last week taking down Boise State, 24-17. Efficiency and clock management are their keys to victory. If they don't turn the ball over, they should hold serve at home and take the Aztecs' spot in the rankings.
7:30 pm #5 Ohio State (-20, 60) at Indiana - Last season, Indiana played the Buckeyes to nearly a standstill, eventually losing, 42-35, but that was before Michel Penix Jr. was sidelined and had to undergo a third ACL surgery.
7:30 pm USC at #13 Notre Dame (-7, 58) - The Irish are still hurting from their loss to Cincinnati, and their latest effort, a 32-29 win at Virginia Tech, wasn't very inspiring. Notre Dame is a pretty good, but not great, football team on the fringes of the Top 15. They can easily lose two more games this season and this is one of them.
7:30 pm South Carolina at #17 Texas A&M (-21, 45) - The Aggies didn't bounce after their upset win over Alabama, but, they were, after all, playing Missouri.
7:30 pm #18 NC State (-3, 51 1/2) at Miami - With Miami's D'Eric King having season-ending surgery, the Hurricanes are up against it against the vastly improved Wolfpack. Tyler Van Dyke has shown promise but the last two games he hasn't had much help as the defense imploded in a 30-28 loss to Virginia and a 45-42 defeat at North Carolina.
